jeff m
2009-01-10 21:27:12 UTC
http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Image:Atmospheric_Transmission_png
Notice that :
- the bands affected by CO2 are already ~100% absorbed
- The band where the outgoing infrared is allowed, is weakly affected by water vapor
- The smaller chart at the side shows 40 watts directly radiated back to space, 195 watts of thermal radiation - this would be due to conduction and convection transferring heat to upper atmosphere.
Now , nobody seriously suggests that increasing CO2 will directly increase the greenhouse effect. The hypothesis is that increased CO2 will cause increased water vapor and that will increase the effect. But :
- Gases rise as they warm (convection). Water vapor is 18/28ths (by mole wt.) of the other gases, so it rises well - until it reaches an altitude cool enough to condense it (which releases heat)
-Water vapor content varies (humidity). areas with low hunidity are that way for reasons. The bitter cold of the upper atmosphere or the arctic. The heat of the deserts ( causes increased convection of H2O)
- Although water vapor only reaches to 25000 feet (the highest clouds) , 2/3rd of the atmosphere is below 25000 feet - barometric pressure decreases rapidly. So is 2/3rds of whatever greenhouse effect
is due to other gases.
- increased water vapor means an increase in the evaporation/ convection/ condensation cycle - a very effective negative feedback. If it's cold out, the wator vapor ends up being snow over wider areas- ( has anyone noticed? )increased albedo is another negative feedback. And increased albedo from more cloud cover.
Nobody seriously questions that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, or that there's a greenhouse effect. Nor that global warming has been occuring since the little ice age ended ~1860. Statements that "scientists don't question greenhouse effect or global warming" are misleading.
The questions :
- Is all that beyond the understanding of voters?
- shouldn't the media and schools be talking about the facts of the matter, rather than scary speculations about inundated cities & such?
- Since the energy policies needed to fight AGW would make 4$ gasoline look like a warning shot, shouldn't there be serious debate, including educating the public?
- If 4$ gas was a warning shot, wouldn't cap & trade be like having the green gang ( or gang green, if you prefer) shoot us in the foot, after the warning shot?
- Since gas prices began receding immediately after pres. Bush forced discussion of the idea of talking about increased oil drilling in the USA, shouldn't we send him a thank you note, every time we buy gas for 1.50?